NCAA Tournament Predictions – Tips for Making Your Bracket Picks

Its NCAA Tournament time again. Before Selection Sunday occurs, you will want to determine what type of scheme or method you will use to fill out your NCAA Tournament bracket before its crunch time and you miss the deadline for your office or online bracket challenge or pool! The following are 10 tips for you to consider when making your NCAA Tournament predictions for this year’s March Madness.

NCAA Tournament Predictions

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #1 – #16 Seeds Have Never Won

Will this be the first year? Who knows. We’ve had some scares in recent NCAA tournaments, but it still has never happened. Don’t be the guy or gal who loses the office pool because you decided the 2010 NCAA Tournament would be the year the 16 seed would win.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #2 – All #1 Seeds Don’t Normally Make the Final Four

Its happened, but only once since 1985 (2008). You’re normally safe picking 2, but assume risk with 3, and go against the odds by picking all four #1′s to advance.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #3 – Don’t Be Afraid to Pick #10 Seeds

You’re generally safe to pick up to two of the four 10 seeds to upset the #7 seeds in your bracket matchups. The historic average of these games is equivalent to 8/9 seed games.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #4 – Know Your Final Four Picks Free Throw Percentages

It may not matter until the regional finals or later, but check out the free throw percentages for your Final Four and championship picks as well as their game FT percentages in all close losses. If your team chokes in close games, just think back to Memphis throwing away the 2008 Title due to their foul line woes…

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #5 – Spend Your Time and Research on Final Four Picks

The majority of bracket pools will give you an equivalent number of points for two Final Four picks being correct as the entire first round. Choose your Final Four Teams first and work backwards. If anything, you’ll save some time…and may just have better results.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #6 – Pick 1 #10 Seed to Go to the Sweet 16 or Beyond

You should pick at least one #10 seed to make the Sweet 16 or further. Most years, at least one makes it that deep in the tourney.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #7 – Pick a Lower than Expected Championship Game Score

Normally a tie breaker in office pools, this metric is generally lower than expected due to the stress and nerves on both teams parts for playing in the championship game.

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #8 – Pick a Champion with a Go To Player

If your choice for a NCAA champion doesn’t have someone in the player of the year chatter, consider picking one that does. John Wall, Evan Turner, Scottie Reynolds, and Sherron Collins are four that come to mind…

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #9 – Make Sure Your Champion Can Win 6 Games in a Row

If your champion didn’t win six or more games in a row during the season, why will they start to do so in the Tourney?

NCAA Tournament Predictions Tip #10 – Don’t Always Go With the Most Talent

The team with the best players doesn’t always win in the NCAA tourney. It happens, but make sure its not your only indicator for picking a team in the more competitive rounds of your bracket.


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